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By using immense amounts of digital data, the Adobe Digital Price Index provides more details about consumer product price deflation than traditional measurements. Adobe’s DPI analyzes transactions involving 15 billion website visits and 2.2 million products sold online. Adobe’s May DPI showed price deflation in most of the consumer goods it tracks. Low-cost items saw […]

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A reporter asked us about the prospects of the stock market if the Fed raises the Fed Funds rate, since at the time there was a strong possibility of a rise in the rate to around 25 basis points. We explained that, in our opinion, the ending of the ZIRP (Zero Interest Rate Policy) and […]

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In the first five months of 2012, there were twenty times as many Google searches on “inflation” as there were on “deflation.” This is down from a ratio of fifty times in June 2008. If any theme has been overdone over the past six years, it is the theme of inevitable inflation if not hyperinflation. […]

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Is Europe leading the world into a deflationary depression? Well, consider that the International Monetary Fund just lowered its estimate of eurozone growth to a mere 0.8%. More than that, Germany risks “slipping into a third recession since 2008” (CNN). Also, ECB President Mario Draghi’s preferred inflation gauge shows a trend that’s a big worry […]

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Many sophisticated institutional investors are in a camp that believes the Fed is behind the curve and if they don’t raise rates soon we will have a high probability of entering a period of either bad inflation, or possibly even hyper-inflation. Other camps are supportive of the Fed’s policies in varying degrees. The example used […]

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The central banks of Japan and the European Union have gone all out to shore up inflation. But, so far, the results have been disappointing. Likewise, the U.S. Federal Reserve has done all it can to stimulate the U.S. economy. So far, the U.S. economic “recovery” has been relatively weak. The October 2014 Elliott Wave […]

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